Forecasting Analyst (Research Analyst 4)

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Job Description:

Our mission...

To equitably protect and empower consumers and workers while maintaining a predictable yet innovative regulatory environment for the businesses we regulate.

The Department of Consumer and Business Services (DCBS) is a progressive business regulatory state agency dedicated to the mission of protecting and serving Oregon's consumers and workers while supporting a positive business climate. The department administers state laws and rules governing workers' compensation, occupational safety and health, financial institutions, insurance companies and building codes. The department has consumer protection and education programs, offices, and ombuds to help consumers, injured workers, and businesses.

This position is with the Central Services Division (CSD). CSD is responsible for providing accounting, budgeting, collections, procurement, facilities management, information technology, human resources, and research services to the department.

This position is represented by the Service Employees International Union (SEIU).

• Rewarding work in a productive and creative environment
• Colleagues who are passionate about public service
• Work/life balance, 11 paid holidays a year, and a competitive benefits package
• Advancement and learning opportunities that will help grow your career with the State of Oregon
• Possible eligibility for the Public Service Loan Forgiveness Program

This position is eligible to telework on a part-time basis once the incumbent has gained the proficiency to perform work independently. However, regular, scheduled office hours are also required.

As a Forecasting Analyst, you will serve as the project leader on major research studies including actuarial and financial analyses, and econometric forecasting. You will be responsible for designing, implementing and evaluating complex research and forecasting methodologies and applying complex analytical and forecasting techniques and concepts to major research studies, and statistical and fiscal projects. You will also analyze data and prepare comprehensive interpretative statistical reports and consult with agency leadership to interpret and explain reports.

For a complete listing of the duties and responsibilities of this position, please review the position description.

Minimum Qualifications:

• A bachelor's degree in any disciplines that included six-quarter units in statistics or quantitative analysis methods and procedures, and three years of experience using computerized applications to independently gather, compile, and analyze data and prepare narrative or statistical reports. Two of the three years must have included coordinating complex research projects.

OR

• Five years of research experience using computerized applications to independently gather, compile, and analyze data and prepare narrative or statistical reports. Two of the five years must have included coordinating complex research projects.

Requested Skills:

• Experience in government finance
• Ability to gather, compile, and analyze data, and present findings in tabular, graphic, or narrative form
• Strong verbal and written communication skills for diverse audiences
• Skill in locating and interpreting economic and labor market information
• Proficiency with statistical software to clean, tabulate, and simulate data, and to develop econometric models
• General knowledge of finance and government

Extensive knowledge of:

• Time-series forecasting or data analysis
• Forecasting techniques, research design, and computer applications and programming languages
• Principles and theories of micro and macroeconomics, comparative economic systems, regulatory and consumer factors on economic markets, cost/benefit analysis, and economic forecasting and evaluation
• Local, regional, national and international economic issues
• The function, philosophy and background of the agency and the laws and regulations affecting the agency

• A resume and cover letter are required for this job posting. Please attach them in the “Resume / Cover Letter” section of the application.
• Please ensure that you clearly demonstrate in your application materials that you meet the qualifications and requested skills listed above and that you follow all instructions carefully. Only complete applications received by the posted application deadline date will be considered.
• You may be asked to submit a skills assessment, a writing sample, or a video interview as part of the application screening process.

• Per the Pay Equity Law passed in 2017, an employee pay assessment will be conducted to determine what pay step the successful candidate will be offered.  The assessment will be based on the relevant experience, education, training, and certifications documented in the application materials.  On average, candidates new to state service will most likely be offered compensation in the lower to mid-level of the salary range.
• The salary range listed is the non-PERS eligible rate. If you are already a participating PERS member or once you become PERS eligible after 6 months of employment, the salary range will increase by 6.95% and the required 6% employee retirement contribution will be deducted from your pay.
• This position is subject to a fingerprint background check for any convictions directly related to its duties and responsibilities. Only job-related convictions will be considered and will not automatically disqualify the candidate.
• The State of Oregon does not request or require your age, date of birth, attendance or graduation dates from an educational institution during the application process. This information may be required after the interview process, depending on the requirements of the position.
• Eligible veterans and Oregon National Guard servicemembers (current and former) who meet the qualifications of the position will be awarded candidate preference. For further information, please see the following website: Veterans, Disabled Veterans & State Servicemembers. NOTE: If claiming preference please be sure to check your Workday account for pending tasks in the “My Tasks” section at the top of the Candidate Home page.
• We hire preferred workers!  For more information, please visit our website: Preferred Worker Program.
• The Department of Consumer and Business Services (DCBS) does not offer VISA sponsorships, such as H-1B or F-1 STEM CPT/OPT. If your employment authorization and documentation is contingent on sponsorship now or in the future, you will not meet our agency employment eligibility standards. Within three days of hire, you will be required to complete the US Department of Homeland Security's I-9 form confirming authorization to work in the United States. DCBS will use E-Verify to confirm that you are authorized to work in the United States.

Learn more about DCBS

DCBS Career Fairs and Workshops

Understanding the State Application Process

Help and Support webpage

For more information you may contact us by e-mail at DCBS.Recruiting@dcbs.oregon.gov.